March Madness Betting Strategy

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  1. March Madness betting is a great time to take advantage of public perception or consensus betting. A team could be overvalued based on past reputation, which is a great time to bet against them.
  2. March Madness Live Betting. Live betting or in-play betting during March Madness is about as good as it gets for sports bettors. Sides, totals, moneylines, and even live player props can be wagered live.
March Madness Betting Strategy

As we enter February and grieve the football season passing us by, we mustn’t forget what time of year it is. It’s March Madness time. That’s right, it’s time to dust off those old brackets and prepare for the greatest tournament in all of sports (and sports betting, for that matter).

The NCAA tournament Want to make money betting on March Madness? Here are a few strategy tips we thought might help.In this video, we'll be discussing.- Ty. March Madness Basketball Betting Tips The chances of filling out a perfect bracket are 1 in 9.2 quintillion, but that doesn’t mean you can’t win some coin in. Look at a team’s road and neutral-site. 1 day ago  March Madness 2021 betting strategy. NCAA March Madness offers a huge array of games and markets to bet on. Here we suggest a few strategies and pointers to bear in mind when placing.

With the pandemic restricting the NCAA tournament to the Indianapolis area, many Covid-related questions are still in the air. That said, one thing is for certain – March Madness offers bettors one of the greatest opportunities to have fun and (hopefully) make money.

March Madness Betting Odds

March Madness Betting Strategy

March Madness Favorites

When odds were first announced, Villanova, the previous March Madness champs, came out as the favorite. However, much has changed. Villanova lost to Virginia Tech in late November and to Saint John’s, in a surprising defeat, on February 3rd.

Despite these two losses, Villanova is still positioned as the 3rd overall team, with +750 odds at BetMGM. The Wildcats trail Gonzaga and Baylor (+250 and +450, respectively), both undefeated.

Michigan comes in at 4th at +1200 with BetMGM. This judgment is echoed by Andy Katz, whose bracket has these four teams as the number one seeds. DraftKings is currently offering -305 odds for Gonzaga to make the final four, -305 for Baylor, +100 for Villanova, and +170 for Michigan.

See our Complete Guide To March Madness Odds And Betting On The Final Four

Underdog Picks

While making a futures bet on a favorite is always a safe move, betting on an underdog is where the most excitement, and hopefully the most money, is to be found. After all, who doesn’t love a Cinderella story?

One great way to profit from an underdog comes in the round of 64. Betting a 12 seed to upset a 5 seed, for instance, has been one of the most popular and profitable bets in recent years. Since the tournament expansion in 1985, 12 seeds have beaten 5 seeds roughly 35% of the time.

Similarly, a bet on an 11 seed over a 6 seed or even a 13 seed over a 4 seed has historical merit. Since 1985, 29 13 seed teams have beaten 4 seeds, which equates to almost 21% of the time. For 11 seeds beating 6 seeds – the upset happens about 37% of the time. Given these stats, you can surely find some expected-value positive bets.

An Underdog To Win

One team that stands out as the value-bettor’s sleeper is Illinois. Based on the NCAA’s NET rankings through February 3rd, Illinois is the 4th ranked team overall. However, many of the sportsbooks seem to disagree. DraftKings has Illinois at 13th overall to win the championship.

Considering this asymmetry, DraftKings’ odds of Illinois winning (+2000) or making the final four (+400) could be advantageous. Illinois is preparing for their bout against Michigan on February 11th – a game that will likely determine the Big Ten leader. If Illinois pulls off a win, you can rest assured those odds won’t be as sweet.

Bracket Challenges

March Madness Betting Strategy

Really, what is March Madness without a bracket? Making a bracket is not only wonderful for teasing your friends over their terrible picks, but it also gets you involved in every single game. And even though your bracket is sure to be busted, several sportsbooks have offered great challenges with big money payouts.

For the last NCAA tournament, DraftKings offered New Jersey Residents a chance to compete in a $100,000 prize pool for a $20 buy-in. They also offered a free entry contest, available to anyone in the US. The contest touted $64,000 in total prizes.

FanDuel also offered a free, nationwide bracket contest. With over $250,000 in total prizes, the proud owner of the best bracket received a cool $100,000. Assuming DraftKings and FanDuel offer something similar this year, making a bracket and signing up for the free competition is a no-brainer.

March Madness Betting Strategy Rules

March Madness Betting Strategy

Top College Hoops Handicappers

NCAA Tournament – March Madness Betting Strategy

NCAA Tournament Betting Strategy

Robert Ferringo

Ride The Hot Hand

Doug Upstone

Hot vs. Cold Teams

Alan Harris

Target The Smallest Conferences

Indian Cowboy

Let The Lines Speak To You

Allen Eastman

Don’t Get Pinned Against The Public


It is NCAA Tournament betting time! March Madness is here and every sports bettor wants a piece of the action. Things happen at a fast and furious pace this time of the year and it is important to go into March Madness with a solid plan. Planning and preparation are everything and there are a variety of NCAA Tournament betting strategies that can help gamblers show a profit betting on college basketball this time of the year.

Here are five strong NCAA Tournament betting strategies from our team of top college basketball handicappers:

Robert Ferringo: 'Momentum is absolutely crucial in March. You never want to bet against a hot team in the NCAA Tournament. But you also don't want to be shy about riding a team that is on fire at the window, especially if they are one of the best teams in the country. The public loves betting underdogs this time of the year. But the teams that have won national championships and dominated this time of the year have also been absolutely devastating at the window during March Madness. Over the last four years the eventual national champions are a combined 24-0 ATS in the NCAA Tournament. The teams that have cut down the nets have combined to go 32-4 ATS the last six years, 57-9 ATS the last 11 years and an astounding 80-16 ATS in NCAA Tournament games the past 16 seasons. When you think you've tabbed the eventual title team go to the well until the well is dry.'

Doug Upstone: The very first aspect I track is how a team has played the last month. If a club is 3-4 and lost their first game in their conference tournament and is facing an opponent who was 7-1, was second in their league and won the conference tournament, that has my attention in the first game for both teams. Always look closely at 5 vs 12 matchups. The five-seed is nearly always is moving down, while a 12-seed is a conference champion. In the first weekend games, look for 10-seeds to cover more often than 7-seeds against 2-seeds, as they can be taken more lightly. Also, look for underdogs in the 7-11 point range. Once you get to the Sweet 16, identify teams that have an NBA quality big man, NBA quality point guard and team(s) that had a 10 or more game winning streak, as those are profiles of teams most likely to keep winning and covering spreads.

Alan Harris “Target a few of the smaller conferences out there and really get to know the players, the coaches and their tendencies. Read as much as you can on a daily basis on these schools. Twitter and the internet are your two best friends when it comes to college hoops. Find out who the beat writers are and read everything that they put out. A small tidbit about the sixth man for Radford or Elon having the flu the last few days could determine a winning or losing bet for you.”

Indian Cowboy: 'Let the line speak to you. Ever look at a line and think, ‘Why in the world is this good team getting nearly double-digits against this other very good team?’ Or, ‘Wow, the oddsmakers are crazy giving all these free points with this good team and this must be a mistake?’ Let it be known: The oddsmakers and books simply never give free points. So, take a moment and consider why is this team favored over this other team by so much if there are no new injuries to speak of.”

Allen Eastman: “A lot of square public bettors start betting on college basketball just for the NCAA Tournament. That means there is a lot more public money in the market. But pay attention to the line movements and not the hype of which team the public is betting and who all the commentators and analysts are predicting to win. Most of the upsets that happen in the NCAA Tournament are ones that people don’t see coming. And most of the upsets that everyone is predicting never happen. Pay attention to the line movements. Big sharp bettors will move lines. Not public action. One of the most important NCAA Tournament strategies is not getting carried away and not just following along with what everyone else in the betting public thinks the smart play is or thinks is going to happen. Don’t be afraid to take some chances on some underdogs. But also don’t try to predict every single one that is going to happen.”

March Madness Betting Strategy Game

If you would like more insight as to what these 5 handicappers do daily for their clients you can get a $60 no obligation free trial of their premium member picks here.

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